Sun Moon Tan Tian, this military exercise is telling Lai Qingde： If you dare to seek ＂independence＂ provocation, your sword will be drawn at once!

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　　From 23rd to 24th, the "Joint Sword-－2024A" exercise was conducted around Taitai Island in the Eastern Theater of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army.

　　Tan Zhu noticed that public opinion on the island was highly concerned about this large-scale military exercise without warning. Almost all the media immediately reported that China Times News published an editorial pointing out that Lai Qingde’s "Taiwan independence mania" undermined peace in the Taiwan Strait. Media commentator Wang Shangzhi thinks, "‘ Military exercise around the island ’ Appear faster than expected. " Lai Shibao, a representative of public opinion, said that the scale and scope of this "military exercise around the island" have been expanded compared with before, and Lai Qingde should be responsible for this. Analysts said that the PLA military exercise was the whole process of attacking Taiwan by force … …

　　In Tan Zhu’s view, this military exercise is a warning to Lai Qingde: If you dare to seek "independence" provocation, your sword will be drawn immediately!

unprecedented

Play "independence" mode

　　Tan Zhu’s comprehensive analysis of the scope and content of the exercise by military experts from both sides of the strait found that five remarkable features highlighted the unprecedented "independence" mode of the PLA.

　　The first is the exercise code.Lin Yingyou, an assistant professor at the Institute of International Affairs and Strategy of Tamkang University in Taiwan Province, analyzed that from last year’s "United Sword" to this year’s "United Sword -2024A", the "United Sword" exercise may be normalized in the future. Zheng Jian, a mainland military expert, told Tan Zhu that "A" means that if Lai Qingde persists in provocation, it will not be ruled out that there will be "B" and "C" & HELLIP; … The possibility.

　　The second is five encirclement circles.Taiwan Province Island is surrounded by the encirclement of Taipeng, Jinmen, Mazu, Dongyin and Wuqiuyu from three directions: north, south and east. Jie Zhong, a military expert on the island, noticed that this military exercise included "blockade operations" against several outer islands, and even "coastal island assault operations" against Dongyin Island, which was not practiced in the previous "military exercise around Taiwan". Zhang Chi, a mainland military expert, pointed out that the north deterred important political and military targets, the south besieged the important station of Taiwan Navy, and the east blocked the lifeline of Taiwan’s energy import, the escape line of "Taiwan independence" forces and the support line of external forces.

　　The third is the internal and external integration of the island chain.Jie Zhong said that this means that the PLA has the ability to send its powerful naval and air combat power to the tactical position in the western Pacific in eastern Taiwan Province, and cut off Taiwan Province’s external air and sea links. Zheng Jian told Tan Zhu that the PLA’s action was to announce to the "Taiwan independence" forces on the island and external interference forces that Taiwan Province is not a part of the "island chain" but a barrier to China’s national security. The PLA not only has the ability to crush "Taiwan independence", but also has the ability to refuse the so-called "rescue" from outside.

　　Fourth, approaching the "strategic rear" and "second wartime command post" of the Democratic Progressive Party authorities — — The Taiwan Air Force Hualien Base carried out military exercises.Lu Deyun, a military expert on the island, said that the exercise area off Hualien is extremely close to Taiwan Province Island, and the appearance of the liberation warship aircraft at such a close distance has put substantial pressure on the Lai Qingde authorities and the Taiwan military. There are also scholars on the island who believe that this also means that the so-called "combat power preservation" of the Taiwan military has no place at all.

　　Fifth, the three dimensions of "point, line and surface" have formed a threatening situation on Taiwan Province Island.Meng Xiangqing, a military expert on the mainland, pointed out that "point" means directly attacking the prime evil of "Taiwan independence" and pointing directly at the goal of "Taiwan independence". The "line" means that the key points of the exercise are connected into a powerful fire line that locks the island. "Face" means that the whole island of Taiwan Province is covered by a powerful fire net built by the PLA’s long-range fire, long-range guide and fighter planes. It can be said that this PLA exercise has a larger scale and a stronger flavor of actual combat.

Step by step

Military intimidation

　　Since the Democratic Progressive Party authorities came to power in 2016, this is another "military exercise around Taiwan" by the People’s Liberation Army to counter and punish the provocation of "independence". Some experts on the island pointed out that,Judging from several "military exercises around Taiwan", every time "Taiwan independence" provokes, the mainland’s military coercion in the Taiwan Strait will push further into the island.

　　In August 2022, Democratic Progressive Party authorities Goulian Pelosi made a surprise visit to Taiwan Province, and the PLA’s "military exercise around Taiwan" broke through the so-called "central line of the Straits" and "closed the door and beat the dog".At that time, Meng Xiangqing said, "‘ Strait midline ’ We never admit that "has become a hot topic in media reports on the island. According to the analysis of Qi Leyi, a military expert on the island, the military exercise reduced the depth of Taiwan Province’s "defense" to a minimum. Lin Yufang, a former public opinion representative on the island, said that the Taiwan military simply had no ability to break through the blockade.

　　In April 2023, Tsai Ing-Wen visited the United States, and the People’s Liberation Army conducted a "military exercise around Taiwan" and the aircraft carrier patrolled the east.At that time, public opinion on the island was highly focused on the appearance of the "Shandong Ship" aircraft carrier on the east coast of Taiwan Province. Experts on the island said that the "Shandong Ship" passed through the waters adjacent to Miyako Island and crossed the "first island chain", indicating that the "defensive rear" that Taiwan Province always thought no longer existed.

　　This exercise aimed at Lai Qingde’s provocation of seeking "independence" has achieved a new breakthrough.Meng Xiangqing said that Taiwan Island is a typical export-oriented economy, and 97% of its energy is imported. Once the island is blocked, its economy will collapse instantly, and the island may become a "dead island". The PLA focused on the new mode of blocking Taiwan Province Island. Meng Xiangqing emphasized that on the same day, Fujian Marine Police also organized a fleet of ships to carry out comprehensive law enforcement drills in the waters near Wuqiuyu Island and Dongyin Island. The released training diagram showed that the fleet of marine police ships was only 2.8 nautical miles away from Wuqiuyu Island and 3.1 nautical miles away from Dongyin Island, which completely broke through the so-called "restricted waters" designated by the Democratic Progressive Party authorities.

　　Liu Kuangyu, an associate researcher at Taiwan Province Institute of China Academy of Social Sciences, stressed in an exclusive interview with Master Tan that,The "six-way locking Taiwan" military exercise mode after the counter-Pelosi’s platform attack is still improving and strengthening step by step. Not only "circling the island" and "locking Taiwan" have become the new normal of the PLA’s military exercise against Taiwan, but also "anti-cutting sausage" has become the new normal.This fully shows that the more "Taiwan independence" provokes, the more the PLA tightens its blockade, speeds up its actual combat readiness, and strengthens anti-intervention and regional refusal.

　　Tan Zhu finally wants to say that the PLA’s military operations in the Taiwan Strait have gradually achieved the goal of "closing the door and beating dogs" and "locking turtles in a jar"", the aircraft carrier east patrol, internal resistance and external sealing, falsification of the "middle line", normal control, peacetime and wartime integration, joint warfare as the front. If "Taiwan independence" doesn’t pull back from the brink, it will be thunderous!